The Evolution of Georgia-Russia Relations (2003-2008): a SWOT Analysis of Geopolitical Tensions, Economic Pressures and Strategic Opportunities
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Author(s)
Author(s)
The Evolution of Georgia-Russia Relations (2003-2008): a SWOT Analysis of Geopolitical Tensions, Economic Pressures and Strategic Opportunities Karen Ghazaryan
This article examines the evolution of relations between Georgia and the
Russian Federation, particularly in the period leading up to the "Five-Day" War,
which significantly changed the dynamics of relations between the two nations.
Focusing on the period following Georgia's Rose Revolution in 2003, the study
analyzes the changing nature of bilateral relations, the influencing factors and
challenges faced by both sides amid changing geopolitical developments.
The purpose of the study is to understand how Georgia navigated the
complex geopolitical landscape, balancing its aspirations for NATO and EU
membership with its ongoing territorial disputes with Russia. The central research
question is: How did Georgia’s foreign policy during 2003-2008 address its
geopolitical vulnerabilities and opportunities in the face of Russian opposition?
The study applies a SWOT analysis (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities,
and Threats) methodology to evaluate Georgia’s foreign policy decisions in this
critical period, considering both internal and external factors. The findings
highlight the strategic importance of Georgia’s geographic location and political
reforms but also reveal significant vulnerabilities, including unresolved territorial
conflicts and dependence on Western support without formal security guarantees.
The conclusion emphasizes that while Georgia sought to leverage its
democratic reforms and geopolitical significance, it remained constrained by the
power dynamics of the region, particularly Russia’s influence, which culminated in
the 2008 Russo-Georgian War. This analysis provides insights into the
complexities of small states navigating regional power structures and the
importance of strategic diplomacy and military readiness.
